A little-known agreement could fundamentally change how America elects its president before 2028, and the irony is that Connecticut helped create the very constitutional balance this agreement would change.
Picture this. Connecticut votes for one candidate, but the other wins the popular vote nationwide. Under the National Popular Vote Compact, Connecticut's electoral votes would go to the national winner, not necessarily the state's choice.
That's not theoretical. Connecticut has already joined the agreement by state law, though it's not active yet because it only takes effect once states totalling 270 electoral votes join. Right now 222 are pledged. Only 48 more are needed.
After the 2026 midterms, five more states totalling 61 electoral votes gained governments that might join. If they all pass it, the total would reach 283. That's enough. Those states would still need to pass laws, but it creates a real path to activating the compact before 2028, without Voters Nationwide having voted directly on that question.
Now the constitutional issues are substantial. Article I says states can't make agreements with each other without congressional consent, though the Supreme Court has said not every agreement needs that. Article II gives states control over elector appointment, but it doesn't answer whether they can bind that choice to other states' results through a contract among themselves. And Article V raises the deeper concern. Are we changing how the presidency is decided without the amendment process the founders required for major changes? The Supreme Court hasn't definitively ruled on this compact.
There's also the practical side. Imagine a razor-thin national margin with recount disputes, in multiple states. The compact doesn't create a single national recount system, and its withdrawal rules limit states from pulling out late in a presidential cycle. For 2028, the decisive date is July 20th. If the compact's active then, it governs that election.
And here's where the Connecticut irony lands. In seventeen eighty-seven, Sherman and Ellsworth helped forge the compromise that preserved meaningful state voices in a new federal government. Today, Connecticut has joined an agreement that would make the nationwide popular vote decisive and reduce the importance of its own state result in presidential elections. Whether that honours or undoes the founders' design is exactly what Americans deserve to discuss now, not after the rules have changed.
Sources
- 1National Popular Vote: Status of the compact by state
- 2Connecticut Public: Virginia joins, bringing the compact to 222 electoral votes (Apr. 14, 2026)
- 3New York Times via Philadelphia Inquirer: Democrats' midterm gains could sideline the Electoral College by 2028 (Nov. 6, 2026)
- 4National Archives: U.S. Constitution, full text (Articles I, II and V)
The five states: Michigan (15), Pennsylvania (19), Wisconsin (10), Nevada (6) and Arizona (11, projected at the time of reporting).